Posted by: wxryanhall | February 27, 2014

What’s Ahead (Rain/Ice/Snow?)

Hello and welcome to East Kentucky Weather this morning. Currently we are at 19 degrees here in Pikeville. WARNING: This blog post is going to be a headache to read for some because of all the crazy and uncertain weather stuff we have to talk about!

Today

Sunny with a high near 35. Expect a brisk breeze from the northwest.

Tonight

Clear skies. COLD. Low near 10 degrees.

Tomorrow

Mostly sunny with a high near 41. Wind could still be cranking so expect some chilly gusts.

Ok so a little disturbance tries to work its way in here Friday night into Saturday morning. This could give us some rain and maybe a few snowflakes in the evening. Here’s what the NAM is showing for early Saturday morning.

rain

Funny thing.. The GFS says this one is a NO SHOW. But hey, these are only forecast computer models, we can’t trust them right?

The thing we’re going to look at is a big storm that works its way in here Sunday. Now this one has a chance of being significant.┬áThe exact track of the system will determine what kind of precipitation we see. Currently, this thing could go either just north or just south of east Kentucky which sets us up for the possibility of rain, snow, sleet, and everything in between.

Here’s an animation of the latest GFS data. this goes from Sunday night into Monday Night.

Untitled-1

The current soundings are kind of scary. SOMEONE is going to see an ice storm out of this. Someone else is going to see an amazing snowfall. I think this one is going to be hard to forecast even once the NAM gets it in range because the temperatures with this are so sensitive. Nevertheless, I’ll do my best to decipher everything in a timely matter.

Basically, this is how the precipitation is set up per the GFS right now. (06z)

Untitled-3

And check out these COLD temperatures that crawl in here after the storm passes. This is early Tuesday

BRR

Be sure to share this post – a lot of people will be under the gun as this one rolls in and I will update frequently! Thanks for reading!


Responses

  1. I hope we don’t get ice if hate to see the power go off with the cold air


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